Newborn · Preterm Risk
CRIB II — Very Preterm Baby Mortality Score
CRIB II clinical risk index for very preterm babies (<32 weeks or <1500 g). 5 items from admission data. Predicts mortality + morbidity. Used for benchmarking NICUs + informing parents. Parry et al. 2003.
Last reviewed 2 June 2026
NICU benchmarking — preterm infants
Sex
What is CRIB II?
Clinical Risk Index for Babies II — score predicting mortality + morbidity for very preterm babies (<32 weeks OR <1500 g birth weight). Parry et al. 2003 (UK + Ireland data).
The 5 items
- Sex.
- Birth weight.
- Gestation.
- Admission temperature.
- Base excess (acid-base balance).
Uses admission-only data (reduces bias from intervention variability).
What it predicts
- In-hospital mortality (best validated).
- Some morbidity outcomes (IVH, BPD, severe complications).
- Population-level risk; not individual death prediction.
Why admission temperature matters
Hypothermia (<36.5°C) at admission strongly associated with worse outcomes: mortality, intracranial haemorrhage, hypoglycaemia, infection. Preterm babies very vulnerable.
Protective measures: plastic bag/wrap (extreme preterm); hat; warm room; warmed gases; transport incubator.
Base excess
Severely negative base excess (<-7) indicates metabolic acidosis — inadequate oxygen delivery to tissues. Associated with brain injury, multi-organ stress, worse outcomes.
UK preterm survival (2020s NICU)
- 22 wk: ~30-40%.
- 23 wk: ~60-70%.
- 24 wk: ~75-85%.
- 25 wk: ~85-90%.
- 26 wk: ~90%.
- 27-28 wk: ~95%.
- 29-31 wk: >97%.
Neurodevelopmental outcomes
- 24-25 wk severe disability: ~25-35%.
- 26+ wk: ~10-20%.
- 28+ wk: smaller still.
Individual outcomes vary widely.
Possible lasting effects
- Respiratory: BPD (chronic lung disease); home oxygen, inhalers.
- Neurological: cerebral palsy, cognitive delays.
- Sensory: vision (ROP), hearing.
- Growth issues sometimes.
- Behavioural / attention concerns.
Majority of preterm babies live normal lives with early intervention support.
How CRIB II is used
- Research + NICU benchmarking.
- Parent counselling (population risk).
- Not deterministic for individual outcomes.
- Combined with clinical exam, imaging, family preferences.
Support for families
- NICU multidisciplinary team.
- BLISS UK (premature/sick babies).
- Family rooms.
- Breastfeeding support.
- Perinatal psychology.
- Peer support.
- Discharge planning + community follow-up.
Different scenarios
Scenario 1: 28-wk preterm, birth weight 1.1 kg, CRIB II 6
Moderate risk. Standard NICU intensive care. ~90% survival typically. Good outcomes likely with care.
Scenario 2: 23-wk preterm, very low birth weight, CRIB II 16
High risk. Multidisciplinary discussion with family about treatment intensity. Active care given but ethical discussion.
Scenario 3: 31-wk preterm, normal temp + base excess, CRIB II 2
Low risk. Standard care. Survival >95%. Likely good outcomes.
Scenario 4: 25-wk preterm, hypothermic on admission
Adds risk. Active rewarming. Thermal care emphasis.
Scenario 5: Very preterm survivor at 18 months, mild motor delay
Within expected range. Physio + developmental tracking. Outcomes improve over years.
Care guidance — very preterm care
- Antenatal steroids before preterm delivery.
- Magnesium sulphate <32 wk.
- Delayed cord clamping.
- Plastic bag / wrap to prevent hypothermia.
- Early surfactant if RDS.
- CPAP first-line where possible.
- Express breast milk from birth.
- BLISS UK family support.
- Long-term developmental follow-up.
Sources
- Parry G, et al. CRIB II: an update of the clinical risk index for babies score. Lancet 2003.
- BAPM. Perinatal management of extreme preterm birth (2019).
- Nuffield Council on Bioethics. Critical care decisions in fetal and neonatal medicine.
- BLISS UK. bliss.org.uk.
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